Texas Election Races & Odds

Texas's 2026 election cycle features Governor Greg Abbott seeking a fourth term, John Cornyn defending his Senate seat through a competitive primary runoff, and all 38 congressional districts on the ballot. Below you'll find live prediction market odds for every race, updated every 30 minutes via PredictionEdge.

General Election November 3, 2026 All Races — Governor, Senate, House

• Governor

Texas Governor

Gina HinojosaDemocrat15%

Greg AbbottRepublican85%

• U.S. Senate

National · What’s at stake Nov 2, 2026

2026 U.S. Senate Control

D 45%

R 55%

Markets favor Republican control at 55%.

Texas Senate

James TalaricoDemocrat43%

Ken PaxtonRepublican57%

Texas State Senate

James TalaricoDemocrat11%

Ken PaxtonRepublican89%

• State

• Congressional

National · What’s at stake Nov 2, 2026

2026 U.S. House Control

D 83%

R 17%

Markets favor Democratic control at 83%.

TX-01 House

Yolanda PrinceDemocrat4%

RepublicanRepublican96%

TX-02 House

Shaun FinnieDemocrat18%

Steve TothRepublican82%

TX-03 House

Evan HuntDemocrat15%

Keith SelfRepublican85%

TX-04 House

Jason PearceDemocrat18%

Pat FallonRepublican82%

TX-05 House

Chelsey HockettDemocrat9%

Lance GoodenRepublican91%

TX-06 House

Danny MintonDemocrat13%

Jake EllzeyRepublican87%

TX-07 House

DemocratDemocrat93%

Alexander HaleRepublican7%

TX-08 House

Laura JonesDemocrat13%

Jessica SteinmannRepublican87%

TX-09 House

Leticia GutierrezDemocrat22%

Alexandra del Moral MealerRepublican78%

TX-10 House

Caitlin RourkDemocrat22%

Chris GoberRepublican78%

TX-11 House

Claire ReynoldsDemocrat13%

August PflugerRepublican87%

TX-12 House

Angela Rodriquez PrillimanDemocrat20%

Craig GoldmanRepublican80%

TX-13 House

Mark NairDemocrat6%

Ronny JacksonRepublican94%

TX-14 House

Thurman BartieDemocrat14%

Randy WeberRepublican86%

TX-15 House

Ada CuellarDemocrat43%

RepublicanRepublican57%

TX-16 House

Veronica EscobarDemocrat96%

Manuel BarranzaRepublican4%

TX-17 House

Casey ShepardDemocrat12%

RepublicanRepublican88%

TX-18 House

Christian MenefeeDemocrat99%

Ronald WhitfieldRepublican1%

TX-19 House

DemocratDemocrat2%

Tom SellRepublican98%

TX-20 House

Joaquin CastroDemocrat93%

Edgardo BaezRepublican7%

TX-21 House

Kristin HookDemocrat17%

Mark TeixeiraRepublican83%

TX-22 House

Marguette Greene-ScottDemocrat12%

Trever NehlsRepublican88%

TX-23 House

Katy Padilla StoutDemocrat21%

Brandon HerreraRepublican79%

TX-24 House

Kevin BurgeDemocrat25%

Beth Van DuyneRepublican75%

TX-25 House

Dione SimsDemocrat17%

Roger WilliamsRepublican83%

TX-26 House

Steven ShookDemocrat17%

Brandon GillRepublican83%

TX-27 House

Tanya LloydDemocrat26%

Michael CloudRepublican74%

TX-28 House

Henry CuellarDemocrat67%

Tano TijerinaRepublican33%

TX-29 House

Sylvia GarciaDemocrat89%

Martha FierroRepublican11%

TX-30 House

Frederick Haynes IIIDemocrat98%

Everett JacksonRepublican2%

TX-31 House

Justin EarlyDemocrat25%

John CarterRepublican75%

TX-32 House

Dan BarriosDemocrat19%

Jace YarbroughRepublican81%

TX-33 House

Colin AllredDemocrat97%

Patrick GillepsieRepublican3%

TX-34 House

Vicente GonzalezDemocrat70%

Eric FloresRepublican30%

TX-35 House

Johnny GarciaDemocrat42%

Carlos De La CruzRepublican58%

TX-36 House

Rhonda HartDemocrat18%

Brian BabinRepublican82%

TX-37 House

Greg CasarDemocrat97%

Lauren PeñaRepublican3%

TX-38 House

Melissa McDonoughDemocrat14%

Jon BonckRepublican86%

Who will win the Special Election for TX-18

Amanda EdwardsDemocrat—

Isaiah MartinDemocrat—

Frequently Asked Questions

Is John Cornyn running for re-election in Texas?

Yes. Senator John Cornyn is the Republican incumbent. The primary featured a competitive race heading to a May 26 runoff.

When is the Texas primary?

The Texas primary was March 3, 2026. The primary runoff is May 26, 2026.

What about Texas Governor in 2026?

Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott is running for a fourth term. Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa won the Democratic primary.

How many races are on the ballot in Texas in 2026?

ElectionsTX tracks 52 races, including governor, senate, attorney general, and all 38 congressional districts. Each race card shows live prediction market odds.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Odds are sourced from PredictionEdge, which aggregates regulated prediction markets where real money is traded on election outcomes. Unlike polls, prediction markets update continuously and reflect the collective judgment of traders with money at stake.