Texas 2026 Election Polls

The latest polling data across Texas's 2026 governor and senate races, updated as new surveys are released.

Texas's 2026 races feature high-stakes contests for Governor, Senate, and statewide offices. Polling data below reflects surveys conducted by independent pollsters. Prediction market odds from PredictionEdge are shown alongside polling averages for a complete picture of each race.

U.S. Senate

General Election
A2 Insights 618 voters surveyed · Jun 28
Other / Undecided
5.5%
General Election
The New York Times/Siena University 656 voters surveyed · Jun 27
Other / Undecided
6%
General Election
SoCal Strategies 800 voters surveyed · Jun 21
Ken Paxton Ken Paxton
48.53%
Other / Undecided
4.4%
General Election
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGov 1,200 voters surveyed · Jun 12
Other / Undecided
15%
General Election
Quantus Insights 800 voters surveyed · Jun 4
Other / Undecided
12%
General Election
ReconMR/Siena University 807 voters surveyed · Jun 4
Other / Undecided
9%
General Election
Slingshot Strategies 1,670 voters surveyed · May 28
Other / Undecided
9%
General Election
Public Policy Polling 643 voters surveyed · May 23
Other / Undecided
17%
General Election
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center/YouGov 1,223 voters surveyed · May 6
Other / Undecided
11%
General Election
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center/YouGov 1,223 voters surveyed · May 6
Other / Undecided
10%
General Election
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGov 1,200 voters surveyed · Apr 20
Other / Undecided
24%
General Election
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGov 1,200 voters surveyed · Apr 20
Other / Undecided
27%
General Election
Texas Public Opinion Research 1,018 voters surveyed · Apr 20
Other / Undecided
15%
General Election
Texas Public Opinion Research 1,018 voters surveyed · Apr 20
Other / Undecided
13%

Candidate Spotlight

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is leading the Texas Governor polls?

Governor Greg Abbott faces Democrat Gina Hinojosa in the general election. Abbott is the Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term.

Who is leading the Texas Senate polls?

Senator John Cornyn won the Republican primary outright. Democrat James Talarico won his primary.

When is the Texas primary runoff?

May 26, 2026. Several statewide races are heading to runoff.

How accurate are Texas election polls?

Texas polls provide a snapshot of voter preferences, though turnout patterns in the state can shift outcomes. Prediction market odds offer a complementary real-time view that aggregates all available information.

Where does ElectionsTX get its polling data?

Polling data is aggregated from PredictionEdge, which collects surveys from independent pollsters and academic institutions.

What's the difference between polls and prediction market odds?

Polls measure voter preferences at a point in time; prediction markets update continuously based on what traders are willing to bet.

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