Texas Senate Race
This Texas Senate seat is currently held by John Cornyn, the Republican incumbent seeking re-election. The 2026 race is one of the most closely watched in the country. Top candidates include Ken Paxton, James Talarico. Live prediction market odds are updated every 30 minutes.
Texas U.S. Senate Candidates
Warren Kenneth Paxton Jr. is an American lawyer and Republican politician who has served as the 51st Attorney General of Texas since January 2015. He previously served in the Texas State Senate and the Texas House of Representatives. He earned a B.A. in psychology and an M.B.A. from Baylor University and a J.D. from the University of Virginia School of Law. He is married to Angela Paxton, a Texas state senator, and they have four children.
View full profile → James Dell Talarico is a Democratic member of the Texas House of Representatives, serving since 2018 (District 52 until 2023; District 50 thereafter). He is a former public school teacher and has worked in education-focused nonprofit leadership. Talarico earned a B.A. in Government from the University of Texas at Austin, an M.Ed. in Education Policy from Harvard, and an M.Div. from Austin Presbyterian Theological Seminary.
View full profile →Texas U.S. Senate Polling
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Texas Democratic Senate
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Texas Senate margin of victory
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No active markets yet — check back soonFrequently Asked Questions
Who is leading the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race?
Ken Paxton (Republican) leads the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race with a 59% probability on prediction markets, compared to James Talarico (Democrat) at 41%. Odds are updated every 30 minutes.
When is the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election?
The 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election is on November 3, 2026.
How are the Texas U.S. Senate race odds calculated?
Odds are sourced from PredictionEdge, which aggregates regulated prediction markets where traders stake real money on election outcomes. Probabilities reflect the current market price and are updated every 30 minutes.
Who are the candidates for Texas U.S. Senate in 2026?
The leading candidates for Texas U.S. Senate in 2026 include Ken Paxton (Republican), James Talarico (Democrat), based on current prediction market data.
