A May 29 Texas Public Opinion Research poll shows Republican Gov. Greg Abbott ahead of Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa 46 percent to 41 percent in the 2026 gubernatorial race. The five-point margin comes after both candidates secured their party nominations in March. Republicans also hold a similar edge in the attorney general contest while the Senate race has tightened following Ken Paxton's primary victory.
Governor Race Shows Steady Republican Advantage
Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa each won their party primaries outright in March 2026. The new poll places Abbott at 46 percent support and Hinojosa at 41 percent among likely voters. That gap matches the five-point lead Republicans hold in the attorney general matchup and reflects continued GOP strength in statewide contests despite national trends.
Affordability and cost of living rank as the top voter concern at 23 percent, according to the same survey. Democracy and voting rights follow at 11 percent while immigration sits at 10 percent. These priorities shape campaign messaging more than the raw polling margins in the governor race.
Attorney General Contest Features New Nominees
Mayes Middleton defeated U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the Republican attorney general primary runoff in late May 2026. The TPOR poll shows Middleton leading Democrat Nathan Johnson 44 percent to 39 percent. Both candidates now prepare for a general election that tests Republican dominance in the office long held by the party.
Johnson secured the Democratic nomination earlier in the cycle. The five-point Republican edge here aligns closely with the governor race results and suggests limited Democratic inroads on this ballot line.
