Texas Senate Democratic primary margin of victory Race
This Texas Senate seat is currently held by John Cornyn, the Republican incumbent seeking re-election. The 2026 race is one of the most closely watched in the country. Live prediction market odds are updated every 30 minutes.


Texas U.S. Senate Candidates
James Dell Talarico is a Democratic member of the Texas House of Representatives, serving since 2018 (District 52 until 2023; District 50 thereafter). He is a former public school teacher and has worked in education-focused nonprofit leadership. Talarico earned a B.A. in Government from the University of Texas at Austin, an M.Ed. in Education Policy from Harvard, and an M.Div. from Austin Presbyterian Theological Seminary.
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Jasmine Felicia Crockett is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Texas’s 30th congressional district since 2023. She previously served in the Texas House of Representatives (District 100) from 2021 to 2023. Crockett worked as a public defender and later practiced civil rights, criminal defense, and related law before entering electoral politics. She has announced a campaign for the U.S. Senate in Texas for the 2026 election cycle.
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Frequently Asked Questions
When is the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election?
The 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election is on March 3, 2026.
How are the Texas U.S. Senate race odds calculated?
Odds are sourced from PredictionEdge, which aggregates regulated prediction markets where traders stake real money on election outcomes. Probabilities reflect the current market price and are updated every 30 minutes.
Who are the candidates for Texas U.S. Senate in 2026?
The leading candidates for Texas U.S. Senate in 2026 include James Talarico (Democrat), Jasmine Crockett (Democrat), based on current prediction market data.

