Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory Race
This Texas Senate seat is currently held by John Cornyn, the Republican incumbent seeking re-election. The 2026 race is one of the most closely watched in the country. Live prediction market odds are updated every 30 minutes.
Texas U.S. Senate Candidates
John Cornyn is a Republican U.S. Senator from Texas, first elected in 2002. He previously served as a Bexar County district judge, a justice on the Texas Supreme Court, and Texas Attorney General. He earned a B.A. in journalism from Trinity University, a J.D. from St. Mary’s University School of Law, and an LL.M. from the University of Virginia School of Law.
View full profile → Warren Kenneth Paxton Jr. is an American lawyer and Republican politician who has served as the 51st Attorney General of Texas since January 2015. He previously served in the Texas State Senate and the Texas House of Representatives. He earned a B.A. in psychology and an M.B.A. from Baylor University and a J.D. from the University of Virginia School of Law. He is married to Angela Paxton, a Texas state senator, and they have four children.
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No active markets yet — check back soonTexas Senate margin of victory
No active markets yet — check back soonFrequently Asked Questions
When is the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election?
The 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election is on May 26, 2026.
How are the Texas U.S. Senate race odds calculated?
Odds are sourced from PredictionEdge, which aggregates regulated prediction markets where traders stake real money on election outcomes. Probabilities reflect the current market price and are updated every 30 minutes.
Who are the candidates for Texas U.S. Senate in 2026?
The leading candidates for Texas U.S. Senate in 2026 include John Cornyn (Republican), Ken Paxton (Republican), based on current prediction market data.
