Texas Republican Senate Primary
This Texas Senate seat is currently held by John Cornyn, the Republican incumbent seeking re-election. The Republican primary will select the party's nominee for November. Top candidates include Ken Paxton, John Cornyn. Live prediction market odds are updated every 30 minutes.
Texas U.S. Senate Candidates
Warren Kenneth Paxton Jr. is an American lawyer and Republican politician who has served as the 51st Attorney General of Texas since January 2015. He previously served in the Texas State Senate and the Texas House of Representatives. He earned a B.A. in psychology and an M.B.A. from Baylor University and a J.D. from the University of Virginia School of Law. He is married to Angela Paxton, a Texas state senator, and they have four children.
View full profile → John Cornyn is a Republican U.S. Senator from Texas, first elected in 2002. He previously served as a Bexar County district judge, a justice on the Texas Supreme Court, and Texas Attorney General. He earned a B.A. in journalism from Trinity University, a J.D. from St. Mary’s University School of Law, and an LL.M. from the University of Virginia School of Law.
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No active markets yet — check back soonFrequently Asked Questions
Who is leading the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race?
Ken Paxton (Republican) leads the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race with a 50% probability on prediction markets, compared to John Cornyn (Republican) at 50%. Odds are updated every 30 minutes.
When is the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election?
The 2026 Texas U.S. Senate primary election is on May 26, 2026.
How are the Texas U.S. Senate race odds calculated?
Odds are sourced from PredictionEdge, which aggregates regulated prediction markets where traders stake real money on election outcomes. Probabilities reflect the current market price and are updated every 30 minutes.
Who are the candidates for Texas U.S. Senate in 2026?
The leading candidates for Texas U.S. Senate in 2026 include Ken Paxton (Republican), John Cornyn (Republican), based on current prediction market data.
