2028 U.S. Presidential Election Race
The 2028 U.S. presidential election will be held November 7, 2028, with the Democratic and Republican parties each selecting their nominee through state primaries and caucuses culminating in Super Tuesday on March 7, 2028. Leading contenders include Marco Rubio, JD Vance, Gavin Newsom. Prediction market odds below are updated every 30 minutes and normalized to a head-to-head between the leading candidate from each party.


Presidential Candidates
Marco Antonio Rubio is an American lawyer and Republican politician who served as a U.S. Senator from Florida from January 3, 2011, until January 20, 2025, and became the 72nd U.S. Secretary of State in January 2025. He previously served on the West Miami City Commission and in the Florida House of Representatives, including as Speaker. Rubio earned a B.S. from the University of Florida and a J.D. from the University of Miami. He is married to Jeanette Dousdebes Rubio and has four children.
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James David "J.D." Vance is the 50th vice president of the United States (since January 20, 2025) and previously served as a U.S. senator from Ohio (January 3, 2023–January 10, 2025). He is a Marine Corps veteran and is known nationally as the author of the memoir "Hillbilly Elegy" (2016). Vance earned a B.A. from Ohio State University and a J.D. from Yale Law School, and worked as a lawyer and venture capitalist before entering elected office.
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Gavin Christopher Newsom (born 1967-10-10) is an American politician and businessman who has served as the 40th Governor of California since 2019. He previously served as the 49th Lieutenant Governor of California (2011–2019) and as the 42nd Mayor of San Francisco (2004–2011). Newsom is a graduate of Santa Clara University and is married to filmmaker Jennifer Siebel Newsom; they have four children.
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is a U.S. Representative from New York’s 14th congressional district, serving since January 3, 2019. She previously worked as a community organizer. She graduated from Yorktown High School (2007) and earned a B.A. from Boston University (2011).
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Kamala Devi Harris is an American politician and attorney who served as the 49th vice president of the United States from 2021 to 2025. She previously served as U.S. senator from California (2017-2021) and as California attorney general (2011-2017), after serving as San Francisco district attorney (2004-2011). She earned a B.A. from Howard University (1986) and a J.D. from the University of California, Hastings College of the Law (1989).
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Ronald Dion DeSantis is an American politician and attorney who has served as the 46th governor of Florida since January 8, 2019. He previously represented Florida's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2013 to 2018. He earned a B.A. from Yale University and a J.D. from Harvard Law School and served as a U.S. Navy Judge Advocate General (JAG) officer, including a deployment to Iraq.
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Donald John Trump is an American politician, media personality, and businessman who served as the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and the 47th president since January 2025. He is constitutionally barred from seeking a third term under the 22nd Amendment. Before entering politics, he was a real estate developer and television personality. He graduated from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania in 1968.
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Andrew Graham Beshear is an American attorney and politician serving as the 63rd governor of Kentucky since December 2019. He previously served as Kentucky’s 50th attorney general (2016–2019) and worked in private legal practice. He earned a BA from Vanderbilt University and a JD from the University of Virginia School of Law. Beshear is married to Britainy Beshear and they have two children.
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Mark Edward Kelly is a U.S. Senator from Arizona, elected in a 2020 special election and reelected in 2022. He previously served as a U.S. Navy naval aviator and test pilot, flying combat missions during Operation Desert Storm, and later became a NASA astronaut, flying four Space Shuttle missions. He earned a B.S. from the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy and an M.S. from the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School. He is married to former U.S. Representative Gabrielle Giffords.
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Peter Paul Montgomery Buttigieg is an American politician, U.S. Navy Reserve veteran, and former management consultant who served as the 19th U.S. Secretary of Transportation (2021–2025). He previously served as mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) and ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020. He earned a B.A. from Harvard University and studied at the University of Oxford as a Rhodes Scholar.
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Joshua David Shapiro is an American politician and lawyer who has served as the 48th Governor of Pennsylvania since 2023. He previously served as Pennsylvania Attorney General (2017–2023), chair of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners, and as a member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. He earned a B.A. in political science from the University of Rochester and a J.D. from Georgetown University. He is married to Lori Shapiro and they have four children.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who is leading the 2026 Texas president race?
Marco Rubio (Republican) leads the 2026 Texas president race with a 53% probability on prediction markets, compared to JD Vance (Republican) at 47%. Odds are updated every 30 minutes.
When is the 2026 Texas president election?
The 2026 Texas president general election is on November 7, 2028.
How are the Texas president race odds calculated?
Odds are sourced from PredictionEdge, which aggregates regulated prediction markets where traders stake real money on election outcomes. Probabilities reflect the current market price and are updated every 30 minutes.
Who are the candidates for Texas president in 2026?
The leading candidates for Texas president in 2026 include Marco Rubio (Republican), JD Vance (Republican), Gavin Newsom (Democrat), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (Democrat), based on current prediction market data.



