Talarico and Paxton Tied at 43-42 in June Senate Poll

Talarico and Paxton Tied at 43-42 in June Senate Poll
Political Editor Savannah Witt
Published Jun 29, 2026

James Talarico and Ken Paxton stand virtually tied in the June 2026 UT Austin/Texas Politics Project poll, with Paxton at 43 percent and Talarico at 42 percent. Talarico delivered his acceptance speech three days later at the Texas Democratic Party Convention in Corpus Christi, framing his Senate bid around a call for a bigger Texas built on cross-divide friendship rather than partisan lines.

Talarico Outlines Unity Vision in Acceptance Speech

Talarico took the stage on June 26 and urged supporters to reject divisions based on party, race or background. He described a Texas that expands opportunity through shared purpose instead of zero-sum conflict. The speech came on the second day of the June 25-27 convention, where delegates gathered in Corpus Christi to ratify the ticket for the November 3 general election.

The message aligned with Talarico's broader campaign theme of expanding the electorate. He avoided attacks on Republican primary voters and instead focused on common ground that could draw independents and moderate conservatives into his coalition. Convention organizers highlighted the speech as the centerpiece of efforts to present a unified front heading into the fall campaign.

Primary Win Over Crockett Requires Ongoing Coalition Work

Talarico secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the primary. That contest exposed splits between progressive and establishment wings, particularly among Black voters who formed a key base for both candidates. At the convention, Talarico met with Crockett supporters and Black Democratic leaders to address lingering tensions from the primary.

Those meetings produced public commitments to joint voter outreach in urban and suburban counties. Party officials described the sessions as practical steps to maximize turnout rather than symbolic gestures. The work continues through the summer as the campaign prepares field operations in Harris, Dallas and Bexar counties where Democratic margins will determine the outcome.

General Election · HEAD TO HEADNov 3, 2026

Texas Senate

James Talarico
James TalaricoDemocrat42%
Ken PaxtonRepublican58%
Ken Paxton

Paxton Enters General Election After Cornyn Defeat

Ken Paxton won the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff. That primary battle consumed significant resources on the Republican side and left some Cornyn-aligned donors and voters on the sidelines. Paxton now enters the general election with strong conservative support but faces questions about his ability to expand beyond the primary electorate.

The June UT Austin/Texas Politics Project poll captures the current closeness of the race. The survey showed no candidate reaching 50 percent, leaving room for either side to improve through targeted messaging on issues such as property taxes, border security and education funding.

CandidatePoll PercentagePollster and Date
Ken Paxton43%UT Austin/Texas Politics Project, June 2026
James Talarico42%UT Austin/Texas Politics Project, June 2026

Campaigns Shift Focus to Fall Field Operations

Both candidates now turn to building statewide organizations ahead of early voting. Talarico's team plans to release detailed policy proposals on housing costs and public education in July. Paxton's campaign has scheduled events in rural counties to lock in base turnout while testing messages aimed at suburban women.

The next major deadline arrives with the August fundraising reports, which will show whether either side has opened a meaningful financial advantage. The general election remains scheduled for November 3, 2026.

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