Ken Paxton Defeats John Cornyn 63.8% to 36.5% in Texas Runoff

Ken Paxton Defeats John Cornyn 63.8% to 36.5% in Texas Runoff
Political Editor Savannah Witt
Published May 30, 2026

Ken Paxton defeated incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 63.8% to 36.5% in the Republican primary runoff on May 26, 2026. The result eliminates a four-term senator and installs the Texas attorney general as the GOP nominee against Democrat James Talarico in the Nov. 3 general election.

Paxton's Climb Through Texas Legislature to Attorney General

Paxton began his elected career in 2002 when voters in Collin County sent him to the Texas House for District 70. He won re-election five times over the next decade, focusing on state sovereignty and conservative priorities during a period of rapid suburban growth. In 2012 he moved up to the Texas Senate for District 8, serving one term before running statewide.

Paxton won the 2014 Republican primary for attorney general in a runoff against state Rep. Dan Branch, then defeated the Democratic nominee in November. He took office in January 2015 and won re-election in 2018 and 2022. A late endorsement from President Trump helped secure his Senate primary victory this year.

Talarico's Path from Teacher to Democratic Nominee

James Talarico, an eighth-generation Texan born in 1989, worked as a middle school teacher before entering politics. He earned degrees from the University of Texas at Austin and Harvard, then won election to the Texas House in 2018 at age 29, becoming the chamber's youngest member. He flipped a district Donald Trump had carried two years earlier.

In the House, Talarico helped craft the largest school finance overhaul in two decades and passed measures capping Pre-K class sizes, expanding student mental health funding, and limiting insulin copays to $25 a month. He defeated U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 2026 Democratic primary to claim the Senate nomination.

General Election · HEAD TO HEADNov 3, 2026

Texas Senate

James Talarico
James TalaricoDemocrat41%
Ken PaxtonRepublican59%
Ken Paxton

Early General Election Dynamics and Polling

A late-May Texas Public Opinion Research poll of likely voters showed Talarico ahead of Paxton 47% to 44%. Democrats view the matchup as one of the top 2026 contests because of Paxton's past legal issues and fundraising record. Republicans have opened attacks on cultural issues while Democrats highlight Paxton's record as attorney general.

Both nominees bring established records from state office into the race. Paxton's tenure as the state's top lawyer and Talarico's legislative work on education and health care give voters clear contrasts on policy and experience.

Next Steps Toward November

The general election campaign runs through Nov. 3, 2026. Candidates must file next campaign finance reports with the Federal Election Commission covering the period through June 30. Early voting begins in mid-October.

CandidatePrimary ResultPost-Runoff Poll (TPOR, late May 2026)
Ken Paxton (R)63.8%44%
John Cornyn (R)36.5%N/A
James Talarico (D)Won March primary47%
Think you know who's going to win?
Trade on real election outcomes.
Learn More Deposit $20, get $50 to trade.
Powered by